Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks)
Quality Momentum, rebuilt every other week: a middle speed between monthly and weekly.
How it works
Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks) holds 10 of the 500 most actively traded US stocks: those with the strongest price trends over the past year, among companies that generate cash and whose profitability is improving. It puts more money in the stronger trends and rebuilds the portfolio every other week. Each rule is listed below in the order it is applied.
The rules, step by step
- When it decides. After the market closes on the last trading day of every other week (usually every second Friday), using that day’s closing prices and only information available by then.
- The stock pool. US-listed common stocks and ADRs, not traded over the counter, closing at $5 or more. Each must have traded at least $10 million a day on average over 20 trading days at this decision and one and two months (21 and 42 trading days) before it. Of those, the 500 with the highest 20-day average trading value form the pool.
- Cash flow. Keeps only companies whose latest quarterly report, filed by the decision day, shows positive free cash flow.
- Improving profitability. Keeps only companies whose gross margin in the latest filed quarter is higher than in the same quarter a year earlier (as first reported).
- No sudden spikes. Skips any stock that rose more than 40% over the last month (21 trading days).
- The ranking. Ranks the remaining stocks by 12-1 momentum: the price change from twelve months ago (252 trading days) to one month ago (21 trading days), using prices adjusted for splits and dividends. The latest month is left out on purpose.
- The selection. Takes the 10 highest-ranked stocks, with at most two from any one industry sector: when a sector is full, the next-ranked stock from another sector takes the place. Stocks already held get no preference; each rebuild starts from the ranking.
- How much in each. In proportion to each stock’s 12-1 momentum: a stock up 80% gets twice the money of one up 40%. (Momentum below 1% counts as 1%.)
- The trades. Made at the next trading day’s closing price: stocks no longer selected are sold, new ones bought, and those that stay are resized to their new amounts. Every buy, sale and resize pays 0.10% of the amount traded.
- Between rebuilds. No trades. The holdings’ shares of the portfolio drift as their prices move until the next decision.
These rules are frozen (rules version 1) and are exactly what the record uses, every day since go-live and throughout the backtest. Changing any of them would make a new strategy with its own record. Key terms explained.
What to expect: In the backtest it made less than monthly Quality Momentum, with slightly smaller falls; it is tracked to see whether a middle speed pays.
What would your money have done?
$10,000 put in at the close of Nov 1, 2017, worth at the close of Oct 16, 2026:
Growth of $10,000 against SPY
Fall from the highest value so far
The Bull Rhythm Weekly · every Friday after the close
Follow the strategies as they run live
Eight strategies with fixed rules, every decision made at the day’s close. Each Friday, see where the record stands: what each one made, what it bought and sold, and why.
- This week’s result and the running total since going live, next to the S&P 500
- Every buy and every sale, with the reason in plain words
- What each one holds now, with charts
- The good weeks and the bad ones, reported the same way
Returns over set periods
| Strategy | 1 month | 3 months | This year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | Since 2017 | Since go-live |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks) | -2.6% | +12.5% (ahead of SPY) | +93.1% (ahead of SPY) | +60.3% (ahead of SPY) | +787.7% (ahead of SPY) | +790.2% (ahead of SPY) | +6,003.9% (ahead of SPY) | -11.1% |
| SPY (buy and hold) | +0.3% | +3.1% | +12.8% | +16.0% | +81.4% | +86.4% | +240.4% | -0.1% |
Year by year
Each calendar year on its own, newest first: the return (bold when ahead of SPY), the worst fall from a high within that year, how much the value swung (volatility, as a yearly figure), Sharpe, the best and worst month, the share of months that ended higher, and beta (how much it moved for each 1% SPY moved). The first and the current year are partial; years before going live are a backtest.
| Year | Return | SPY | Worst fall | SPY worst fall | Volatility | Sharpe | Best month | Worst month | Up months | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) · live from Sep 29, 2026 | +93.1% (ahead of SPY) | +12.8% | -47.1% | -8.9% | 76.2% | 1.47 | +71.2% | -36.0% | 70% | 3.11 |
| 2025 | +59.9% (ahead of SPY) | +17.7% | -42.5% | -18.8% | 50.4% | 1.19 | +26.0% | -15.3% | 67% | 1.83 |
| 2024 | +131.2% (ahead of SPY) | +24.9% | -18.6% | -8.4% | 36.1% | 2.50 | +30.6% | -9.4% | 75% | 2.05 |
| 2023 | +27.6% (ahead of SPY) | +26.2% | -19.3% | -10.0% | 27.0% | 1.05 | +19.4% | -9.5% | 42% | 1.32 |
| 2022 | -1.5% (ahead of SPY) | -18.2% | -29.4% | -24.5% | 34.0% | 0.13 | +18.6% | -17.3% | 50% | 0.94 |
| 2021 | +8.7% | +28.7% | -36.0% | -5.1% | 44.8% | 0.41 | +21.2% | -11.2% | 33% | 1.95 |
| 2020 | +224.1% (ahead of SPY) | +18.4% | -39.5% | -33.7% | 57.4% | 2.33 | +29.7% | -14.2% | 75% | 1.16 |
| 2019 | +72.1% (ahead of SPY) | +31.2% | -17.1% | -6.6% | 28.7% | 2.03 | +13.6% | -12.0% | 92% | 1.23 |
| 2018 | +10.9% (ahead of SPY) | -4.6% | -36.6% | -19.3% | 32.5% | 0.48 | +22.5% | -18.4% | 50% | 1.48 |
| 2017 (partial) | +1.2% | +4.2% | -10.9% | -1.0% | 25.0% | 0.41 | +8.1% | -6.5% | 50% | 2.20 |
The account, as a ledger
The strategy shown as one account that started with $10,000 on Nov 1, 2017 (change the amount above) and followed every trade. Shares are fractional; share counts include stock splits and reinvested dividends. Gains are measured on average cost. With a split chosen above, part of the account sits in BIL (a 1–3 month T-bill fund) and is put back to the split at every rebuild: each move is one BIL row below, and it buys or sells the same slice of every stock held.
What it holds now
At the close of Oct 16, 2026. It decides after the close on the last trading day of every other week and trades at the next day's close. The weights drift with prices between rebuilds. This is the model’s position, published for education, not a recommendation to buy these stocks: a portfolio started today would differ in entry prices and results.
| Stock | Sector | Weight | Shares | Avg cost | Cost basis | Price | Value | Gain on cost | Since first bought | First bought | At | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNDK | Technology | 41.5% | 194.866 | $1,820.01 | $354,658 | $1,299.30 | $253,189 | −$101,468 | -38.4% | Jun 15, 2026 | $2,107.86 | new: ranked 1 of 10, 12-1 momentum +3497% |
| MU | Technology | 16.2% | 112.388 | $1,064.74 | $119,664 | $878.84 | $98,772 | −$20,893 | -17.4% | Oct 5, 2026 | $1,063.96 | new: ranked 2 of 10, 12-1 momentum +426% |
| PBF | Energy | 7.3% | 529.006 | $76.95 | $40,708 | $84.52 | $44,712 | +$4,003 | +16.6% | Sep 21, 2026 | $72.48 | new: ranked 5 of 10, 12-1 momentum +149% |
| ATI | Industrials | 6.3% | 207.932 | $200.89 | $41,772 | $185.59 | $38,590 | −$3,182 | -11.5% | Aug 24, 2026 | $209.81 | new: ranked 4 of 10, 12-1 momentum +180% |
| VLO | Energy | 6.0% | 82.436 | $377.42 | $31,113 | $444.71 | $36,660 | +$5,548 | +41.2% | Aug 10, 2026 | $314.95 | new: ranked 8 of 10, 12-1 momentum +115% |
| BE | Industrials | 5.0% | 138.050 | $264.71 | $36,543 | $221.31 | $30,552 | −$5,992 | -14.5% | May 18, 2026 | $258.71 | new: ranked 2 of 10, 12-1 momentum +937% |
| NUE | Basic Materials | 4.5% | 108.103 | $251.63 | $27,202 | $256.29 | $27,706 | +$503 | +1.9% | Oct 5, 2026 | $251.41 | new: ranked 8 of 10, 12-1 momentum +97% |
| ILMN | Healthcare | 4.5% | 103.780 | $257.17 | $26,689 | $262.54 | $27,246 | +$558 | +9.9% | Sep 21, 2026 | $238.82 | new: ranked 7 of 10, 12-1 momentum +103% |
| CNC | Healthcare | 4.4% | 386.150 | $65.41 | $25,258 | $69.16 | $26,706 | +$1,449 | +3.9% | Aug 10, 2026 | $66.57 | new: ranked 5 of 10, 12-1 momentum +168% |
| TGT | Consumer Defensive | 4.2% | 166.239 | $155.65 | $25,874 | $154.26 | $25,644 | −$230 | -2.2% | Sep 21, 2026 | $157.71 | new: ranked 10 of 10, 12-1 momentum +86% |
Every trade
3,145 trades in all; the latest 50 below, newest first (up to 300 here; the download has them all). Download the full ledger (CSV). A trade is decided at one day’s close and made at the next day’s close.
| Date | Stock | Action | Weight | Shares | Price | Amount | Fee | Realized gain | Account value | Gain vs start | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | VLO | add | 2.8% → to 4.8% | 34.893 | $419.33 | −$14,632 paid | $14.63 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | TGT | add | 1.9% → to 3.5% | 78.570 | $152.99 | −$12,020 paid | $12.02 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | SNDK | add | 33.9% → to 46.2% | 51.823 | $1,704.16 | −$88,315 paid | $88.32 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | PBF | add | 3.9% → to 6.2% | 198.990 | $84.16 | −$16,747 paid | $16.75 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | NUE | buy | 0.0% → to 3.8% | 108.200 | $251.41 | −$27,202 paid | $27.20 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | new: ranked 8 of 10, 12-1 momentum +97% | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | MU | buy | 0.0% → to 16.6% | 112.471 | $1,063.96 | −$119,664 paid | $119.66 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | new: ranked 2 of 10, 12-1 momentum +426% | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | ILMN | add | 2.8% → to 4.2% | 34.194 | $293.69 | −$10,043 paid | $10.04 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | HL | sell | 1.8% → to 0.0% | 758.438 | $17.01 | +$12,901 received | $12.90 | −$1,021 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | no longer in the top 10 (ranked 42) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | CNC | add | 2.3% → to 3.5% | 133.342 | $64.30 | −$8,574 paid | $8.57 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | BE | add | 3.8% → to 5.5% | 44.038 | $286.65 | −$12,623 paid | $12.62 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | AXTI | sell | 42.9% → to 0.0% | 3,557.009 | $86.66 | +$308,250 received | $308.25 | +$69,875 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | up more than 40% in the last month |
| Oct 5, 2026 | ATI | add | 4.0% → to 5.6% | 58.680 | $193.09 | −$11,330 paid | $11.33 | $718,371 | +$708,371 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Live forward test starts here: Sep 29, 2026. Above: decided each day from that day’s data. Below: backtest. | |||||||||||
| Sep 21, 2026 | WBD | sell | 2.3% → to 0.0% | 522.036 | $30.80 | +$16,079 received | $16.08 | +$1,721 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | no longer in the top 10 (ranked 61) |
| Sep 21, 2026 | VLO | add | 1.7% → to 2.7% | 17.021 | $393.27 | −$6,694 paid | $6.69 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | TGT | buy | 0.0% → to 2.0% | 87.844 | $157.71 | −$13,854 paid | $13.85 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | new: ranked 10 of 10, 12-1 momentum +86% | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | STLD | sell | 1.7% → to 0.0% | 50.217 | $229.99 | +$11,549 received | $11.55 | −$524 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | no longer in the top 10 (ranked 47) |
| Sep 21, 2026 | SNDK | add | 33.1% → to 36.4% | 13.220 | $1,766.64 | −$23,355 paid | $23.36 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | SCCO | sell | 1.5% → to 0.0% | 53.613 | $198.06 | +$10,619 received | $10.62 | −$568 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | left the 500 most traded (or under $5) |
| Sep 21, 2026 | PBF | buy | 0.0% → to 3.4% | 330.592 | $72.48 | −$23,961 paid | $23.96 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | new: ranked 5 of 10, 12-1 momentum +149% | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | JAZZ | sell | 1.7% → to 0.0% | 49.428 | $241.46 | +$11,935 received | $11.93 | +$63 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | Healthcare already has 2 stronger names |
| Sep 21, 2026 | ILMN | buy | 0.0% → to 2.4% | 69.702 | $238.82 | −$16,646 paid | $16.65 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | new: ranked 7 of 10, 12-1 momentum +103% | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | HL | buy | 0.0% → to 2.0% | 758.674 | $18.35 | −$13,922 paid | $13.92 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | new: ranked 9 of 10, 12-1 momentum +86% | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | CNC | add | 2.1% → to 2.4% | 26.316 | $64.99 | −$1,710 paid | $1.71 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | BE | trim | 5.3% → to 3.7% | 40.870 | $272.89 | +$11,153 received | $11.15 | +$771 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | rebalance to target weight |
| Sep 21, 2026 | AXTI | trim | 47.6% → to 40.9% | 583.730 | $79.93 | +$46,658 received | $46.66 | +$7,551 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | rebalance to target weight |
| Sep 21, 2026 | ATI | add | 2.9% → to 4.1% | 41.498 | $189.16 | −$7,850 paid | $7.85 | $694,821 | +$684,821 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | WBD | add | 1.6% → to 2.3% | 151.576 | $28.12 | −$4,262 paid | $4.26 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | VLO | add | 1.8% → to 1.8% | 0.796 | $382.85 | −$305 paid | $0.30 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | STLD | buy | 0.0% → to 1.9% | 50.242 | $240.31 | −$12,074 paid | $12.07 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | new: ranked 7 of 10, 12-1 momentum +102% | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | SNDK | trim | 53.8% → to 34.8% | 71.155 | $1,737.99 | +$123,667 received | $123.67 | −$9,225 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight |
| Sep 8, 2026 | SCCO | buy | 0.0% → to 1.7% | 53.639 | $208.56 | −$11,187 paid | $11.19 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | new: ranked 10 of 10, 12-1 momentum +95% | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | JAZZ | buy | 0.0% → to 1.8% | 49.452 | $240.07 | −$11,872 paid | $11.87 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | new: ranked 8 of 10, 12-1 momentum +100% | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | ILMN | sell | 1.2% → to 0.0% | 36.376 | $211.06 | +$7,677 received | $7.68 | −$448 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | Healthcare already has 2 stronger names |
| Sep 8, 2026 | HL | sell | 1.3% → to 0.0% | 425.291 | $20.46 | +$8,701 received | $8.70 | +$1,548 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | no longer in the top 10 (ranked 46) |
| Sep 8, 2026 | FTI | sell | 1.6% → to 0.0% | 133.974 | $78.16 | +$10,471 received | $10.47 | +$302 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | left the 500 most traded (or under $5) |
| Sep 8, 2026 | CNC | add | 1.5% → to 2.3% | 75.433 | $64.58 | −$4,871 paid | $4.87 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | BE | trim | 6.9% → to 5.8% | 27.024 | $277.22 | +$7,492 received | $7.49 | +$630 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight |
| Sep 8, 2026 | AXTI | add | 28.0% → to 44.3% | 1,526.802 | $69.56 | −$106,204 paid | $106.20 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | ATI | add | 2.3% → to 3.4% | 34.891 | $207.32 | −$7,234 paid | $7.23 | $650,108 | +$640,108 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | WBD | add | 1.5% → to 1.8% | 68.212 | $28.70 | −$1,958 paid | $1.96 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | VLO | add | 1.6% → to 1.8% | 2.518 | $346.00 | −$871 paid | $0.87 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | rebalance to target weight | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | SNDK | trim | 67.6% → to 52.0% | 60.591 | $1,493.12 | +$90,470 received | $90.47 | −$22,611 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | rebalance to target weight |
| Aug 24, 2026 | MU | sell | 11.2% → to 0.0% | 70.997 | $910.43 | +$64,638 received | $64.64 | +$910 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | Technology already has 2 stronger names |
| Aug 24, 2026 | ILMN | buy | 0.0% → to 1.4% | 36.402 | $223.22 | −$8,126 paid | $8.13 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | new: ranked 10 of 10, 12-1 momentum +95% | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | HL | trim | 2.4% → to 1.5% | 254.397 | $20.40 | +$5,190 received | $5.19 | +$913 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | rebalance to target weight |
| Aug 24, 2026 | FTI | buy | 0.0% → to 1.8% | 134.070 | $75.85 | −$10,169 paid | $10.17 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | new: ranked 7 of 10, 12-1 momentum +119% | |
| Aug 24, 2026 | FIX | sell | 2.0% → to 0.0% | 7.124 | $1,609.69 | +$11,467 received | $11.47 | −$864 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | Industrials already has 2 stronger names |
| Aug 24, 2026 | CNC | trim | 2.2% → to 1.7% | 38.197 | $65.65 | +$2,508 received | $2.51 | −$36 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | rebalance to target weight |
| Aug 24, 2026 | BTSG | sell | 3.1% → to 0.0% | 304.851 | $59.49 | +$18,136 received | $18.14 | −$2,786 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | left the 500 most traded (or under $5) |
| Aug 24, 2026 | BE | trim | 7.1% → to 5.7% | 38.143 | $204.02 | +$7,782 received | $7.78 | −$1,896 | $577,953 | +$567,953 | rebalance to target weight |