Bull Rhythm

Free · Educational · Every trade published

Eight momentum strategies. Every holding. Every trade. Every day.

Bull Rhythm follows eight systematic 12-1 momentum portfolios with fixed, published rules. See how stock selection, position size, diversification and how often a portfolio is rebuilt shape its returns and its risk, with every holding and every trade published after each close, free and for education.

  • 8 strategies
  • Published rules
  • Tracked every trading day
  • Every holding and trade

The portfolios use pretend money. They have run live since Sep 28, 2026 (prices to the close of Nov 6, 2026); results before that date are a backtest, the same rules applied to past prices. New to this? Key terms explained.

Since going live on Sep 28, 2026

How much each strategy has gained or lost since it started running live, to the close of Nov 6, 2026, compared with SPY, a fund that tracks the S&P 500. Each evening the rules choose from that day’s closing prices, and nothing is changed afterwards.

A line for each strategy and SPY, from Sep 28, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026. Each one's return is listed below the chart, best first.Sep 28, 2026Nov 6, 2026
  1. SPY (S&P 500) -4.0%
  2. Broad Momentum 30 -9.7%
  3. Core Momentum -13.0%
  4. Weekly Full Stack (15) -29.1%
  5. Weekly Leaders (max 25%) -29.4%
  6. Weekly Quality Momentum -32.2%
  7. Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks) -33.0%
  8. Weekly Leaders -34.6%
  9. Quality Momentum -36.4%

The foundation of Bull Rhythm

Built on decades of momentum research

Momentum investing has a long academic history. In 1993, Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman documented that stocks with strong returns over the previous three to twelve months tended, on average, to outperform stocks with weak returns over the following months. Bull Rhythm follows eight transparent, rules-based portfolios built on the established 12-1 momentum measure.

Academic source. Jegadeesh, N. & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65–91. Read the original paper (opens the publisher’s page) ↗

The 1993 findings helped establish the momentum research; the exact 12-1 measure used here is a later convention of that research, not a detail of the paper alone. Past patterns do not ensure future returns, and momentum portfolios can suffer sharp reversals.

The eight strategies, live

Tracked live since Sep 28, 2026 (3 added the next day), to the close of Nov 6, 2026: each decision made from that day’s closing prices with the rules unchanged. The live record is young; the worst fall comes from the backtest (the same rules applied to prices from November 2017 to go-live), not from live trading. Bold: ahead of SPY.

Each strategy since going live against SPY, its largest holding, and its worst fall in the backtest
StrategyRebuilds Since go-liveSPY, same daysLargest holding now Worst fall in the backtest
Core MomentumMonthly-13.0%-4.0%ROKU 7.5%-35.4%
Quality MomentumMonthly-36.4%-4.0%AXTI 30.3%-50.8%
Weekly Quality MomentumWeekly-32.2%-4.0%AXTI 30.3%-44.7%
Weekly LeadersWeekly-34.6%-4.0%AXTI 40.7%-47.4%
Weekly Full Stack (15)Weekly-29.1%-4.0%AXTI 35.0%-41.3%
Broad Momentum 30Monthly-9.7%-3.8%NEM 3.9%-32.5%
Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks)Every 2 weeks-33.0%-3.8%AXTI 30.3%-47.1%
Weekly Leaders (max 25%)Weekly-29.4%-3.8%AXTI 23.2%-44.6%

Every figure, year by year, on the Performance page →

One momentum approach. Eight ways to build a portfolio.

Every strategy ranks the 500 most traded US stocks by the same 12-1 momentum. They differ in how many stocks they hold, how often they rebuild, how much they put in the strongest and which extra screens a stock must pass. Each strategy’s page lists its exact rules.

What the portfolios are showing

Week of Oct 30, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026 (closing prices), from the live record and the latest holdings. Written by rule from the numbers each trading day; descriptions of what happened, not forecasts.

The eight strategies tracked

Each strategy is a model portfolio: a fixed set of rules that decides which stocks to own and how much of each. All eight start from the same idea, owning the stocks with the strongest one-year trends, and differ in how many stocks they hold, how often they trade and how much they put in the strongest. They are grouped below by style; open a group to see its strategies, then choose one for its full history, holdings and trades. “Largest drop” is the biggest fall from a high point, a simple measure of risk.

SteadyMonthly, equal amounts in each stock. The calmest of the three.2 strategies: Core Momentum, Broad Momentum 30 · -13.0% to -9.7% since go-live
  • Core Momentum

    The 15 strongest trends, in equal amounts, rebuilt once a month.

    • Monthly
    • 15 stocks
    • Equal amounts
    Since go-live
    -13.0%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -35.4%
  • Broad Momentum 30

    30 strong trends in equal amounts, rebuilt once a month: the most spread-out of all.

    • Monthly
    • 30 stocks
    • Equal amounts
    Since go-live
    -9.7%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -32.5%
QualityStrong trends at companies whose profitability is improving, more money in the strongest.3 strategies: Quality Momentum, Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks), Weekly Quality Momentum · -36.4% to -32.2% since go-live
  • Quality Momentum

    10 strong trends at companies whose profitability is improving, weighted toward the strongest, monthly.

    • Monthly
    • 10 stocks
    • More in the strongest
    Since go-live
    -36.4%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -50.8%
  • Quality Momentum (every 2 weeks)

    Quality Momentum, rebuilt every other week: a middle speed between monthly and weekly.

    • Every 2 weeks
    • 10 stocks
    • More in the strongest
    Since go-live
    -33.0%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -47.1%
  • Weekly Quality Momentum

    Quality Momentum, rebuilt every week so it reacts faster.

    • Weekly
    • 10 stocks
    • More in the strongest
    Since go-live
    -32.2%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -44.7%
LeadersWeekly, leaning hardest into the very strongest trends. The biggest gains and the biggest falls.3 strategies: Weekly Leaders, Weekly Leaders (max 25%), Weekly Full Stack (15) · -34.6% to -29.1% since go-live
  • Weekly Leaders

    Leans hardest into the very strongest trends, rebuilt weekly.

    • Weekly
    • 10 stocks
    • Much more in the strongest
    Since go-live
    -34.6%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -47.4%
  • Weekly Leaders (max 25%)

    Weekly Leaders with a limit: no stock takes more than a quarter of the money.

    • Weekly
    • 10 stocks
    • Much more in the strongest
    • No stock over 25%
    Since go-live
    -29.4%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -44.6%
  • Weekly Full Stack (15)

    15 strong trends at the companies improving fastest, with extra safety checks, rebuilt weekly.

    • Weekly
    • 15 stocks
    • Much more in the strongest
    Since go-live
    -29.1%
    Largest drop since 2017
    -41.3%

What would your money have done?

See what an amount would have grown to in each strategy, from a start date you choose. The price history used here begins in September 2016, and each strategy needs a year of prices before its first pick, so results start on November 1, 2017.

The amount you picture putting in. It only scales the dollar figures: the percentages are the same for $1,000 or $1,000,000.
How much of the account follows the strategy. The rest sits in BIL, a fund of US Treasury bills that mature in 1 to 3 months: close to cash, earning short-term interest. Every time the strategy rebuilds, the account is put back to your split. With 70/30, if the stocks have risen, some of the gain moves into T-bills; if they have fallen, some T-bills are used to buy stocks. A smaller strategy share means smaller falls and smaller gains.
Hindenburg ruleThe best rule from the Hindenburg research: when more than 2.5% of US stocks over $5 make a new 52-week high and more than 2.5% a new 52-week low on the same day, with SPY above its 50-day average, and the split also shows among companies worth more than $300 million (more than 3.0% at new highs and more than 2.0% at new lows) and in at least 3 sectors at each end (more than 2.0% of a sector's stocks), half of the strategy part moves into T-bills at the close six trading days later, and returns 31 trading days after the last such day. Every move appears in the ledger and pays 0.10%. Backtest before go-live, applied day by day after it.
The day your pretend account starts. “Since go-live” counts only the time the strategies have run live, each decision made at that day’s close with the rules unchanged. Earlier periods are a backtest: the same rules applied to past prices.

$10,000 put in at the close of Nov 1, 2017, worth at the close of Nov 6, 2026:

Results before each strategy’s go-live date are a backtest: the rules applied to historical prices. Backtested performance is hypothetical and may not be achieved in live trading.

Growth of $10,000

The dashed grey line is SPY, a fund that tracks the S&P 500, the usual yardstick for US stocks.

Falls from the high, yearly returns and risk on the Performance page →

This week’s key observations

From the close of Oct 30, 2026 to the close of Nov 6, 2026.

  1. 01Strategy movementBest: Broad Momentum 30, -6.4%. Weakest: Weekly Leaders, -22.2%. SPY: -2.7%. 0 of 8 did better than SPY.
  2. 02New holdings and exits8 of 8 strategies rebuilt: 19 different stocks bought and 18 sold. Most bought: TWLO (5 strategies). Most sold: NUE (5).
  3. 03Concentration and overlapAXTI was the largest loss in 8 of 8 strategies (−0.9 points to −13.3 points): when strategies share their biggest holdings, their weeks move together.

This week’s moves

What each strategy bought and sold in live trading from Oct 31, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026. A strategy trades only on its schedule (monthly, every two weeks or weekly), so some weeks it makes no trades. Each strategy’s page lists every trade with its reason.

Why 12-1 momentum?

The research above explains where momentum comes from; this is how the 12-1 measure works.

The exact windows, screens, weights and trading rules are on each strategy’s page and in How it works. A historical pattern is not a promise of future returns.

Transparent by design

A model record with pretend money: not an audited track record and not real-money trading.

The market this week

The S&P 500 is down 2.7% this week, and most stocks rose: 1,940 up and 1,932 down. New 52-week highs outnumber new lows, 502 to 314. 53% of stocks are above their 200-day average (their average price over the past 200 trading days, a common sign of a rising trend), down from 55% last week. Market health for momentum stocks, and all the market measures →

Shown for context: the strategies do not use these measures.

From the same author

Bear Rhythm: how healthy is the market under the surface?

The Hindenburg Omen, the McClellan Oscillator and more market breadth indicators, read across thousands of US stocks after every close, each with its exact rule and its record since 2017.

  • A market health score and a market top risk score, every trading day
  • Whether breadth is confirming the S&P 500’s new highs, or diverging from them
  • The Bear Rhythm weekly report by email every Friday
See today’s market breadth on Bear Rhythm →